Research Article


DOI :10.26650/JTL.2022.953913   IUP :10.26650/JTL.2022.953913    Full Text (PDF)

Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models

Süleyman MeteErkan ÇelikMuhammet Gül

Bus arrival time prediction is a key factor in passenger satisfaction and bus usage. Bus arrival time information reduces both passenger anxiety and their waiting time at the bus stop. Therefore, giving passengers accurate bus arrival time information is very important in public transportation. Various time series prediction methods are used for bus arrival time in this paper. Moreover, five different performance measurements are considered to assess the accuracy of the prediction models. A case study is presented using real data from Istanbul, Turkey for the proposed models. The models predict bus arrival time on a route for its different segments. The results of the proposed models are compared according to performance measures. The model with the best accuracy result among the eight prediction models can support service operators and the authorities in obtaining better passenger satisfaction.


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APA

Mete, S., Çelik, E., & Gül, M. (2022). Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models. Journal of Transportation and Logistics, 7(2), 541-555. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913


AMA

Mete S, Çelik E, Gül M. Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models. Journal of Transportation and Logistics. 2022;7(2):541-555. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913


ABNT

Mete, S.; Çelik, E.; Gül, M. Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models. Journal of Transportation and Logistics, [Publisher Location], v. 7, n. 2, p. 541-555, 2022.


Chicago: Author-Date Style

Mete, Süleyman, and Erkan Çelik and Muhammet Gül. 2022. “Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models.” Journal of Transportation and Logistics 7, no. 2: 541-555. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913


Chicago: Humanities Style

Mete, Süleyman, and Erkan Çelik and Muhammet Gül. Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models.” Journal of Transportation and Logistics 7, no. 2 (Feb. 2024): 541-555. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913


Harvard: Australian Style

Mete, S & Çelik, E & Gül, M 2022, 'Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models', Journal of Transportation and Logistics, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 541-555, viewed 24 Feb. 2024, https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913


Harvard: Author-Date Style

Mete, S. and Çelik, E. and Gül, M. (2022) ‘Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models’, Journal of Transportation and Logistics, 7(2), pp. 541-555. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913 (24 Feb. 2024).


MLA

Mete, Süleyman, and Erkan Çelik and Muhammet Gül. Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models.” Journal of Transportation and Logistics, vol. 7, no. 2, 2022, pp. 541-555. [Database Container], https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913


Vancouver

Mete S, Çelik E, Gül M. Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models. Journal of Transportation and Logistics [Internet]. 24 Feb. 2024 [cited 24 Feb. 2024];7(2):541-555. Available from: https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913 doi: 10.26650/JTL.2022.953913


ISNAD

Mete, Süleyman - Çelik, Erkan - Gül, Muhammet. Predicting the Time of Bus Arrival for Public Transportation by Time Series Models”. Journal of Transportation and Logistics 7/2 (Feb. 2024): 541-555. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2022.953913



TIMELINE


Submitted17.06.2021
Accepted28.10.2022
Published Online30.12.2022

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